GAME OF THE WEEK

The Chiefs are favored on the money line at -129 as they host the Bills in the AFC Championship. Kickoff is at 6:30 ET on Sunday, January 26th at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City. The Chiefs are -2 point favorites, and the over/under line is at 47.5 points. You can watch the game on CBS.

After a couple of late-season losses, the Bills bounced back with three straight wins to close out the regular season, including a 47-10 victory over the Jaguars in week 3. Buffalo entered this game as 4-point favorites and easily covered the spread, improving their record to 13-4. This win secured the Bills the top spot in the AFC East and 2nd place in the conference standings.

Heading into week 3, the Bills ranked 3rd in our NFL power rankings and had an average scoring margin of +9.6 points per game. Against the spread, they were 12-7, with a 9-5 record as favorites and a 3-2 record as underdogs. Their O/U record was also 12-7, with the over hitting in their last two games.

After a couple of late-season losses, the Bills bounced back with three straight wins to close out the regular season, including a 47-10 victory over the Jaguars in week 3. Buffalo entered this game as 4-point favorites and easily covered the spread, improving their record to 13-4. This win secured the Bills the top spot in the AFC East and 2nd place in the conference standings.

Heading into week 3, the Bills ranked 3rd in our NFL power rankings and had an average scoring margin of +9.6 points per game. Against the spread, they were 12-7, with a 9-5 record as favorites and a 3-2 record as underdogs. Their O/U record was also 12-7, with the over hitting in their last two games.

Our offensive power rankings have the Bills at 3rd in the NFL, and they are 2nd in points per game, averaging 30.7. Buffalo has leaned on the run game, ranking 7th in rushing attempts and 9th in rushing yards per game. They are 27th in passing attempts, averaging 224.3 yards per game through the air, which ranks 11th in the league. On 3rd down, the Bills convert 44.1% of the time, ranking 7th, but they are 30th in red zone conversion percentage.

Josh Allen threw for 127 yards on 16/22 passing in the divisional round, after his 272-yard, 2-touchdown performance in the Wild Card round. James Cook led the rushing attack with 67 yards on 17 carries, and Khalil Shakir had 6 catches for 67 yards. Buffalo scored 14 points in the 2nd quarter against the Ravens but were held scoreless in the 3rd.

In their 27-25 win over the Ravens, the Bills' defense gave up 176 rushing yards on 30 attempts. Despite allowing 416 total yards, Buffalo managed to come out on top. Baltimore averaged 9.6 yards per attempt through the air, with Buffalo giving up 240 passing yards. The Ravens converted on 70% of their third down attempts.

Buffalo's defense did come up with one interception and had two sacks in the game. The Ravens finished with a 72% completion rate on their passes.

In our offensive power rankings, the Chiefs are 8th in the NFL, and they rank 14th in points per game, averaging 22.7. They are 16th in passing yards per game with 219, on 34.7 attempts per game, which is 8th in the league. On the ground, they rank 24th in rushing yards per game with 102.2, on 26.2 attempts per game. Kansas City has excelled on 3rd down, converting 48.5% of their attempts, which ranks 2nd in the NFL.

Patrick Mahomes had a passer rating of 98 in the divisional round, throwing for 177 yards and a touchdown without an interception. Travis Kelce led the team with 7 catches for 117 yards and a touchdown, while Kareem Hunt had 44 rushing yards on 8 carries. The Chiefs scored 10 points in the 4th quarter against the Texans after being shut out in the 3rd.

Kansas City's defense was able to get to the quarterback, finishing with an impressive eight sacks in their 23-14 win over the Texans. Despite giving up 149 rushing yards on 29 attempts, the Chiefs held Houston to just 187 passing yards. The Texans completed 67.9% of their passes but failed to score through the air.

On third downs, the Texans converted just 41.2% of their chances. The Chiefs' eight sacks were a key factor in this win, and they also had six more QB hits than the Texans and three more tackles for loss.